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Well hurricane season is almost upon those in Florida again!!!

Well it’s almost time again for those that are affected by the Atlantic hurricane season. I have heard some rumors already that this year is supposed to be an active year. Which of course it has to be during summer when everyone goes out and enjoys the weather. I wish it was in winter since no one goes out that much sinse it gets dark so early, but oh well. Here is an excerpt I found from the Associated press:’Very active’ hurricane season predicted

Story Highlights

• William Gray predicts five intense Atlantic hurricanes in 2007
• Forecaster expects 17 named storms
• Last year, Gray’s forecast, like others, overestimated storms
• 2006 brought just five hurricanes, two of them major

DENVER, Colorado (AP) — The 2007 Atlantic hurricane season should be “very active,” with nine hurricanes and a good chance that at least one major hurricane will hit the U.S. coast, a top researcher said Tuesday.
Forecaster William Gray said he expects a total of 17 named storms this year, five of them major hurricanes with sustained winds of 111 mph or greater.

The probability of a major hurricane making landfall on the U.S. coast this year: 74 percent, compared with the average of 52 percent over the past century, he said.

Last year, Gray’s forecast and government forecasts were higher than what the Atlantic hurricane season produced.
There were 10 named Atlantic storms in 2006 and five hurricanes, two of them major, in what was considered a “near normal” season.
None of those hurricanes hit the U.S. Atlantic coast — only the 11th time that has occurred since 1945. The National Hurricane Center in Miami originally reported nine storms, but upgraded one storm after a postseason review.

Gray’s research team at Colorado State University said an unexpected late El Niño contributed to the calmer season last year. El Niño — a warming in the Pacific Ocean — has far-reaching effects that include changing wind patterns in the eastern Atlantic, which can disrupt the formation of hurricanes there.

A weak to moderate El Niño occurred in December and January but dissipated rapidly, said Phil Klotzbach, a member of Gray’s team.
“Conditions this year are likely to be more conducive to hurricanes,” Klotzbach said Tuesday. In the absence of El Niño, “winds aren’t tearing the storm systems apart.”

The team’s forecasts are based on global oceanic and atmospheric conditions.

Klotzbach advised coastal residents along the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico to have hurricane plans and preparedness kits in place, but he added, “You can’t let the possibility of a hurricane coming ruin your summer.”
The Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to November 30, averages 9.6 named storms, 5.9 hurricanes and 2.3 intense hurricanes per year.

The devastating 2005 season set a record with 28 named storms, 15 of them hurricanes. Four of those hurricanes hit the U.S. coast, the worst among them Katrina, which devastated New Orleans and leveled parts of the Gulf Coast region.

Gray has spent more than 40 years in tropical weather research. He heads the Tropical Meteorology Project at Colorado State.
Federal government forecasters plan to release their prediction in late May.
Copyright 2007 The Associated Press. All rights reserved.This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.

So since last year we were sparred by no hurricanes hitting us directly I am betting that this year we get hit with at least two. We were saved but I don’t think this time isn’t going to be to lucky for Florida. I mean I could be wrong but just a hypothesis.

Anyways here is a funny picture I found on Orlandoforums.com and decided to post it because it was funny…

floridahurricanes.gif

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April 3, - Posted by | Hurricane Season

2 Comments »

  1. Well, having lived the last almost 30 years here in SW Fla, all I can say about these “experts” and their predictions is. When just 1 of them can tell me what the weather NEXT WEEK is going to be like, for each and every day and not get it wrong. Then and only then, will I even begin to pay least amount of attention to these prognosticators that try to predict the weather 9 – 6 months in advance.

    At present all they are are revenue generating venues for the various colleges and agencys.

    Comment by Scott | April 4, | Reply

  2. I completely agree!!!

    Comment by truckerswife | April 4, | Reply


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